Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

391.88 – 70.59

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

409 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 10.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 801 ±11.7

8069Super Hornets

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 31.92Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 124.75Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 235.21Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 133.3 ±19.1

6744MEHLVILLE RC

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX 32.91Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

5060IgKnight

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 19.3Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

1288RAVEN Robotics

Season APEX 41.9Event APEX 18.38Rank 13Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 76

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8069, 3931, 1706

/ 100 compat

Projected

391.9 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8069, 3931, 1706

Auto

79.5 21%

Teleop

219.6 57%

Endgame

83.0 22%

Strengths

· 1706 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6744, 5060, 1288

/ 100 compat

Projected

70.6 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 6744, 5060, 1288

Auto

18.2 28%

Teleop

26.0 39%

Endgame

21.7 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.44 · Blue 0.39

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score391.9pts

Blue projected score70.6pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 321.3
Score range: 50–413
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 475 vs event baseline 117.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

801Season APEX133.3

79.5Auto18.2

219.6Teleop26

83Endgame21.7

0Consistency10

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	75	18
teleop	251	24
endgame	83	9
foul	0	15
total	409	66

Result

Final score

409 – 66

Prediction correct · off by 10.9 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.