Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

140.88 – 207.79

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

92 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 416.9 ±15.1

1329The ViPrs

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 32.14Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

931Perpetual Chaos

Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 59.21Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 49.53Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 513.5 ±11

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 9.4Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 90.78Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6391Ursuline Bearbotics

Season APEX 180Event APEX 107.61Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1329, 931, 11195

/ 100 compat

Projected

140.9 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1329, 931, 11195

Auto

38.2 28%

Teleop

71.0 53%

Endgame

25.7 19%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1982, 9401, 6391

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.8 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1982, 9401, 6391

Auto

45.2 23%

Teleop

102.0 52%

Endgame

47.4 24%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 36%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.01 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score140.9pts

Blue projected score207.8pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 36%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -66.9
Score range: 119–230
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 298 vs event baseline 121.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

416.9Season APEX513.5

38.2Auto45.2

71Teleop102

25.7Endgame47.4

0Consistency9

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	49	61
teleop	1	64
endgame	42	71
foul	0	10
total	92	206

Result

Final score

92 – 206

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts

Match videos

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