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Experimental AI-assisted analytics, predictions and ratings are estimates, not official results.

Qualification · Qualification 9

APEX prediction
Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

46.0897.57

35%65%
Actual result
Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

36138

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points

Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.7 ±16
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 12Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 18.08Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 16Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.7 ±14.1
Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 22.64Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 51.71Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 23.22Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1178, 8069, 8719
49
/ 100 compat
Projected
46.1 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1178, 8069, 8719
Auto
13.1 30%
Teleop
22.0 51%
Endgame
8.0 19%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
  • · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1329, 931, 4256
70
/ 100 compat
Projected
97.6 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 1329, 931, 4256
Auto
31.4 32%
Teleop
48.9 50%
Endgame
17.1 18%
Strengths
  • · Strong autonomous coverage
  • · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score46.1pts
Blue projected score97.6pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
  • Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
  • Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
  • Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin
-51.5
Score range
29115
Upset likelihood
35%
Data cutoff
2026-08-15
Model
apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 174 vs event baseline 94.8.

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

360.7Season APEX493.7
13.1Auto31.4
22Teleop48.9
8Endgame17.1
0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

PhaseRedBlue
auto1339
teleop1286
endgame613
foul50
total36138

Result

Final score

36138

Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree

Match videos

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