Qualification · Qualification 9
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
46.08 – 97.57
35%65%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
36 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 25.3 points
Limited current-season data (8 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.
red allianceTotal Season APEX 360.7 ±16
1178DURT (De Smet United Robotics Team)
Provisional
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 12Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 18.08Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 16Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 493.7 ±14.1
Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 22.64Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79
Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 51.71Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 23.22Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1178, 8069, 8719
49
/ 100 compatProjected
46.1 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1178, 8069, 8719
Auto
13.1 30%
Teleop
22.0 51%
Endgame
8.0 19%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1329, 931, 4256
70
/ 100 compatProjected
97.6 pts
~1.8 RP (regional)
Teams: 1329, 931, 4256
Auto
31.4 32%
Teleop
48.9 50%
Endgame
17.1 18%
Strengths
- · Strong autonomous coverage
- · Well-balanced across phases
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 30%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.03 · Blue 1.76
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score46.1pts
Blue projected score97.6pts
Red win probability35%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 30%, blue 40%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -51.5
- Score range
- 29–115
- Upset likelihood
- 35%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
360.7Season APEX493.7
13.1Auto31.4
22Teleop48.9
8Endgame17.1
0Consistency0
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 13 | 39 |
| teleop | 12 | 86 |
| endgame | 6 | 13 |
| foul | 5 | 0 |
| total | 36 | 138 |
Result
Final score
36 – 138
Prediction correct · off by 25.3 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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