Qualification · Qualification 69

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

102.41 – 59.95

63%37%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

105 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 286.1 ±13.5

4256Cyborg Cats

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 80.95Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3200Raptacon

Season APEX 75.1Event APEX -1.93Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7472R2JESU Robotics

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 23.39Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 113.9 ±20.2

7452Dupo Tigers

Provisional

Season APEX 46.8Event APEX 22.03Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7496Robo Indians

Provisional

Season APEX 27.8Event APEX 17.3Rank 41Record 1-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5060IgKnight

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 20.62Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4256, 3200, 7472

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.4 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 4256, 3200, 7472

Auto

19.5 19%

Teleop

61.1 59%

Endgame

22.3 22%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7452, 7496, 5060

/ 100 compat

Projected

60 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7452, 7496, 5060

Auto

12.2 21%

Teleop

27.4 47%

Endgame

18.7 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score102.4pts

Blue projected score60pts

Red win probability63%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 29%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 42.5
Score range: 39–123
Upset likelihood: 37%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 150 vs event baseline 118.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

286.1Season APEX113.9

19.5Auto12.2

61.1Teleop27.4

22.3Endgame18.7

2Consistency1

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	22	20
teleop	57	13
endgame	26	7
foul	0	5
total	105	45

Result

Final score

105 – 45

Prediction correct · off by 8.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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