Qualification · Qualification 65

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

49.46 – 55.99

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

81 – 45

Prediction missed · off by 21.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 254.9 ±15.3

7472R2JESU Robotics

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 19.09Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5060IgKnight

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 17.6Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3792Army Ants

Season APEX 154.5Event APEX 12.77Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 154.9 ±17.1

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 4.83Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1329The ViPrs

Season APEX 57.7Event APEX 34.65Rank 21Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 79

5583SistamatiK

Provisional

Season APEX 47Event APEX 16.51Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7472, 5060, 3792

/ 100 compat

Projected

49.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 7472, 5060, 3792

Auto

24.5 49%

Teleop

10.8 22%

Endgame

14.6 29%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1785, 1329, 5583

/ 100 compat

Projected

56 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1785, 1329, 5583

Auto

18.1 38%

Teleop

22.0 46%

Endgame

7.9 16%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.28 · Blue 1.35

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score49.5pts

Blue projected score56pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6.5
Score range: 27–78
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 126 vs event baseline 119.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

254.9Season APEX154.9

24.5Auto18.1

10.8Teleop22

14.6Endgame7.9

0Consistency29

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	21
teleop	38	8
endgame	19	16
foul	0	0
total	81	45

Result

Final score

81 – 45

Prediction missed · off by 21.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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