Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

34.99 – 268.84

5%95%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

29 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 46.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 109.2 ±19.7

1178DURT (De Smet United Robotics Team)

Provisional

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 10.46Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

3397Robolions

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 17.76Rank 33Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

2978Cavaliers

Provisional

Season APEX 32Event APEX 6.77Rank 34Record 3-6-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 477.9 ±12.9

8719Oakville Dynamics

Season APEX 75.2Event APEX 17.73Rank 9Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3200Raptacon

Season APEX 75.1Event APEX 6.92Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 244.19Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1178, 3397, 2978

/ 100 compat

Projected

35 pts

~0.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 1178, 3397, 2978

Auto

15.0 46%

Teleop

10.3 32%

Endgame

7.3 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8719, 3200, 1706

/ 100 compat

Projected

268.8 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8719, 3200, 1706

Auto

48.3 18%

Teleop

167.6 62%

Endgame

54.2 20%

Strengths

· 1706 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 25%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.39 · Blue 2.42

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score35pts

Blue projected score268.8pts

Red win probability5%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 25%, blue 47%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -233.8
Score range: 13–291
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 211 vs event baseline 120.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

109.2Season APEX477.9

15Auto48.3

10.3Teleop167.6

7.3Endgame54.2

101Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	8	26
teleop	13	117
endgame	8	39
foul	0	0
total	29	182

Result

Final score

29 – 182

Prediction correct · off by 46.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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