Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

92.79 – 213.76

18%82%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

155 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 210 ±16.3

4330Rambunction

Season APEX 71.8Event APEX 48.88Rank 15Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

9428The Cashew Chickens @ Springfield Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX 9.11Rank 30Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 92

681710 Factorial

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 34.8Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 414.7 ±13.9

5060IgKnight

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 19.18Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 119.81Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4256Cyborg Cats

Season APEX 149.9Event APEX 74.77Rank 4Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4330, 9428, 6817

/ 100 compat

Projected

92.8 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4330, 9428, 6817

Auto

17.5 19%

Teleop

53.5 58%

Endgame

21.5 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5060, 3931, 4256

/ 100 compat

Projected

213.8 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5060, 3931, 4256

Auto

53.1 27%

Teleop

89.6 46%

Endgame

50.9 26%

Strengths

· 3931 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 37%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.77 · Blue 2.12

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score92.8pts

Blue projected score213.8pts

Red win probability18%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 37%, blue 43%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -121
Score range: 72–235
Upset likelihood: 18%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 390 vs event baseline 119.4.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

210Season APEX414.7

17.5Auto53.1

53.5Teleop89.6

21.5Endgame50.9

28Consistency23

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	30	51
teleop	82	123
endgame	43	46
foul	0	15
total	155	235

Result

Final score

155 – 235

Prediction correct · off by 41.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.