Qualification · Qualification 6

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

135.42 – 41.92

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

62 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 321.1 ±15.6

5176RoboBills

Provisional

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 1Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

7472R2JESU Robotics

Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 21.81Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 112.61Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 167.1 ±14.1

1208Metool Brigade

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 23.44Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 7.64Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3397Robolions

Season APEX 39.6Event APEX 10.84Rank 33Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 79

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5176, 7472, 3931

/ 100 compat

Projected

135.4 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 5176, 7472, 3931

Auto

43.2 35%

Teleop

54.3 43%

Endgame

27.6 22%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1208, 1982, 3397

/ 100 compat

Projected

41.9 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 1208, 1982, 3397

Auto

12.3 32%

Teleop

8.8 23%

Endgame

16.8 44%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 38%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.94 · Blue 0.79

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score135.4pts

Blue projected score41.9pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 38%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 93.5
Score range: 19–158
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 119 vs event baseline 126.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

321.1Season APEX167.1

43.2Auto12.3

54.3Teleop8.8

27.6Endgame16.8

45Consistency7

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	12
teleop	22	26
endgame	5	14
foul	0	5
total	62	57

Result

Final score

62 – 57

Prediction correct · off by 44.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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