Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

55.13 – 2.47

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

102 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 375.6 ±15.3

931Perpetual Chaos

Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 45.66Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1785Blue Springs Robocats

Season APEX 50.2Event APEX -7.85Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5060IgKnight

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 17.32Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 224.1 ±17.5

9031Wildbots

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 2.71Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5176RoboBills

Provisional

Season APEX 34.5Event APEX 1.45Rank 22Record 5-5-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

5002Dragon Robotics

Season APEX 113Event APEX -1.69Rank 31Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 931, 1785, 5060

/ 100 compat

Projected

55.1 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 931, 1785, 5060

Auto

20.2 39%

Teleop

17.7 34%

Endgame

14.3 27%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9031, 5176, 5002

/ 100 compat

Projected

2.5 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 9031, 5176, 5002

Auto

8.7 0%

Teleop

-12.5 100%

Endgame

-3.4 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 31%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.67 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score55.1pts

Blue projected score2.5pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 31%, blue 27%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 52.7
Score range: -19–76
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 175 vs event baseline 116.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

375.6Season APEX224.1

20.2Auto8.7

17.7Teleop-12.5

14.3Endgame-3.4

70Consistency51

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	28	19
teleop	35	33
endgame	24	11
foul	15	10
total	102	73

Result

Final score

102 – 73

Prediction correct · off by 58.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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