Qualification · Qualification 43

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

95.07 – 287.06

8%92%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

24 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 184.3 ±18

5060IgKnight

Season APEX 39.3Event APEX 25.9Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

9031Wildbots

Season APEX 76.6Event APEX 24.1Rank 39Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

7117Robotic Dragons

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 45.07Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 632.6 ±12.2

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 235.11Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 28.94Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8069Super Hornets

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 23.01Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5060, 9031, 7117

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.1 pts

~0.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 5060, 9031, 7117

Auto

13.2 16%

Teleop

36.9 45%

Endgame

31.3 38%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1706, 1982, 8069

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.1 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1706, 1982, 8069

Auto

39.8 14%

Teleop

174.2 60%

Endgame

74.5 26%

Strengths

· 1706 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 28%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.5 · Blue 2.22

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score95.1pts

Blue projected score287.1pts

Red win probability8%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 28%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -192
Score range: 75–307
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 355 vs event baseline 113.6.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

184.3Season APEX632.6

13.2Auto39.8

36.9Teleop174.2

31.3Endgame74.5

62Consistency20

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	66
teleop	3	182
endgame	1	83
foul	5	0
total	24	331

Result

Final score

24 – 331

Prediction correct · off by 57.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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