Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

63.91 – 60.25

51%49%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

140 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 407.2 ±15.8

931Perpetual Chaos

Season APEX 286.1Event APEX 23.49Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 24.81Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

10322Beyond the Bell

Season APEX 48Event APEX 15.61Rank 12Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 77

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 196 ±16.6

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 27.93Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10317CIA Robotics Presents: BIG Furious George

Provisional

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 25.93Rank 23Record 4-5-1Status provisionalConfidence 73

3200Raptacon

Season APEX 75.1Event APEX 6.39Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 931, 11195, 10322

/ 100 compat

Projected

63.9 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 931, 11195, 10322

Auto

32.4 46%

Teleop

28.9 41%

Endgame

8.7 12%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1982, 10317, 3200

/ 100 compat

Projected

60.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1982, 10317, 3200

Auto

19.7 30%

Teleop

32.3 50%

Endgame

13.1 20%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 42%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.48 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score63.9pts

Blue projected score60.3pts

Red win probability51%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 42%, blue 31%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 3.7
Score range: 40–84
Upset likelihood: 49%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 186 vs event baseline 113.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

407.2Season APEX196

32.4Auto19.7

28.9Teleop32.3

8.7Endgame13.1

15Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	11
teleop	88	17
endgame	23	13
foul	0	5
total	140	46

Result

Final score

140 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 45.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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