Qualification · Qualification 24
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Red alliance
Predicted score
116.3 – 62.34
66%34%
Actual result
Winner
Red alliance
Final score
234 – 19
Prediction correct · off by 80.5 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.6 ±12.2
Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 13.96Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 9.31Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95
Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 93.03Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 148.9 ±16
Season APEX 50.2Event APEX 3.19Rank 36Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100
1178DURT (De Smet United Robotics Team)
Provisional
Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 12.31Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73
Season APEX 61.1Event APEX 46.84Rank 17Record 5-4-1Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1982, 11195, 9401
72
/ 100 compatProjected
116.3 pts
~1.7 RP (regional)
Teams: 1982, 11195, 9401
Auto
29.6 26%
Teleop
43.6 38%
Endgame
42.2 37%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
–
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 1785, 1178, 7472
49
/ 100 compatProjected
62.3 pts
~1.0 RP (regional)
Teams: 1785, 1178, 7472
Auto
7.2 13%
Teleop
35.1 61%
Endgame
15.2 26%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
RP bonus probability
Energized: 37%
Supercharged: 2%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.74 · Blue 1.01
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score116.3pts
Blue projected score62.3pts
Red win probability66%
Event bonus sample168alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 37%, blue 29%
Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- 54
- Score range
- 42–136
- Upset likelihood
- 34%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-15
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
406.6Season APEX148.9
29.6Auto7.2
43.6Teleop35.1
42.2Endgame15.2
206Consistency155
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 43 | 14 |
| teleop | 122 | 5 |
| endgame | 69 | 0 |
| foul | 0 | 0 |
| total | 234 | 19 |
Result
Final score
234 – 19
Prediction correct · off by 80.5 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
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