Qualification · Qualification 20

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

11.06 – 112.39

22%78%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

42 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 99.6 ±20.2

4931Edwardsville Technologies

Provisional

Season APEX 9.9Event APEX 16.35Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

1178DURT (De Smet United Robotics Team)

Provisional

Season APEX 37.6Event APEX 6.03Rank 38Record 2-7-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

6744MEHLVILLE RC

Season APEX 52.1Event APEX -11.32Rank 19Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 76

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 178 ±18.1

7117Robotic Dragons

Season APEX 68.4Event APEX 49.6Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 76

5583SistamatiK

Provisional

Season APEX 47Event APEX 12.82Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status provisionalConfidence 73

681710 Factorial

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 49.97Rank 20Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 4931, 1178, 6744

/ 100 compat

Projected

11.1 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4931, 1178, 6744

Auto

5.7 43%

Teleop

13.6 100%

Endgame

-6.1 0%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7117, 5583, 6817

/ 100 compat

Projected

112.4 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 7117, 5583, 6817

Auto

0.7 1%

Teleop

67.4 64%

Endgame

36.4 35%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 27%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.76 · Blue 1.93

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score11.1pts

Blue projected score112.4pts

Red win probability22%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 27%, blue 33%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -101.3
Score range: -9–132
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Combined score 88 vs event baseline 110.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

99.6Season APEX178

5.7Auto0.7

13.6Teleop67.4

-6.1Endgame36.4

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	5	9
teleop	12	24
endgame	10	8
foul	15	5
total	42	46

Result

Final score

42 – 46

Prediction correct · off by 48.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.