Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

360.65 – 207.87

87%13%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

340 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 801 ±11.7

8069Super Hornets

Season APEX 247.9Event APEX 21.08Rank 25Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

3931Cockadoodle Dominators

Season APEX 225.5Event APEX 113.51Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1706Ratchet Rockers

A+

Season APEX 327.6Event APEX 226.06Rank 1Record 10-0-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 513.5 ±11

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 9.43Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9401Midas' Mayhem

Season APEX 276.4Event APEX 91.26Rank 6Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6391Ursuline Bearbotics

Season APEX 180Event APEX 107.18Rank 2Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8069, 3931, 1706

/ 100 compat

Projected

360.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8069, 3931, 1706

Auto

75.6 22%

Teleop

204.4 58%

Endgame

71.4 20%

Strengths

· 1706 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1982, 9401, 6391

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1982, 9401, 6391

Auto

46.8 24%

Teleop

94.5 49%

Endgame

50.7 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 43%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.22 · Blue 0.72

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score360.7pts

Blue projected score207.9pts

Red win probability87%

Event bonus sample168alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 43%, blue 41%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 152.8
Score range: 186–383
Upset likelihood: 13%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 492 vs event baseline 124.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

801Season APEX513.5

75.6Auto46.8

204.4Teleop94.5

71.4Endgame50.7

0Consistency16

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	104	60
teleop	165	44
endgame	71	33
foul	0	15
total	340	152

Result

Final score

340 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 38.3 pts

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