Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

347.23 – 212.69

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

236 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 508.5 ±11

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 55.03Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2357System Meltdown

Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 133.27Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 158.93Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 344.7 ±12.8

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 11.54Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX 101.64Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9410PowerHouse

Season APEX 132.7Event APEX 99.51Rank 9Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9316, 2357, 6017

/ 100 compat

Projected

347.2 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9316, 2357, 6017

Auto

54.3 16%

Teleop

199.4 59%

Endgame

85.8 25%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10333, 5013, 9410

/ 100 compat

Projected

212.7 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10333, 5013, 9410

Auto

34.8 17%

Teleop

109.7 54%

Endgame

58.7 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.32 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score347.2pts

Blue projected score212.7pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.5
Score range: 178–382
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Close match

Playoff

Combined score 461 vs event baseline 192.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

508.5Season APEX344.7

54.3Auto34.8

199.4Teleop109.7

85.8Endgame58.7

40Consistency96

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	68	58
teleop	114	92
endgame	54	70
foul	0	5
total	236	225

Result

Final score

236 – 225

Prediction correct · off by 61.8 pts

Match videos

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