Playoff · Playoff Match 7 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

426.29 – 277.91

86%14%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

410 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 658.5 ±12.7

9626JagWire Robotics

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 31.3Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 230.81Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 164.18Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 484 ±11.7

4624Rebel Alliance

Season APEX 115.5Event APEX 80.73Rank 21Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 73.85Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 123.33Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9626, 1987, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

426.3 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9626, 1987, 1986

Auto

72.3 17%

Teleop

263.5 62%

Endgame

89.1 21%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4624, 2220, 1625

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.9 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 4624, 2220, 1625

Auto

45.6 16%

Teleop

161.5 57%

Endgame

74.2 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.46 · Blue 0.96

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score426.3pts

Blue projected score277.9pts

Red win probability86%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 63%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 148.4
Score range: 244–460
Upset likelihood: 14%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 739 vs event baseline 189.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

658.5Season APEX484

72.3Auto45.6

263.5Teleop161.5

89.1Endgame74.2

48Consistency42

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	82	40
teleop	229	189
endgame	99	95
foul	0	5
total	410	329

Result

Final score

410 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 33.7 pts

Match videos

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