Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

443.18 – 207.62

95%5%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

377 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 658.5 ±12.7

9626JagWire Robotics

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 37.8Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 236.09Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 169.29Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 318.2 ±12.1

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 84.79Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 70.43Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 52.4Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9626, 1987, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

443.2 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 9626, 1987, 1986

Auto

84.5 19%

Teleop

266.7 60%

Endgame

90.8 21%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5126, 8880, 8740

/ 100 compat

Projected

207.6 pts

~0.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5126, 8880, 8740

Auto

31.1 15%

Teleop

134.6 65%

Endgame

40.7 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.63 · Blue 0.81

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score443.2pts

Blue projected score207.6pts

Red win probability95%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 235.6
Score range: 175–476
Upset likelihood: 5%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 529 vs event baseline 186.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

658.5Season APEX318.2

84.5Auto31.1

266.7Teleop134.6

90.8Endgame40.7

60Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	37	42
teleop	251	85
endgame	89	25
foul	0	0
total	377	152

Result

Final score

377 – 152

Prediction correct · off by 60.9 pts

Match videos

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