Qualification · Qualification 62

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

170.78 – 288.74

19%81%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

166 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 377.1 ±12.9

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 68.56Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 68.73Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10225Prepa Tecmilenio - PYROX

Season APEX 113.1Event APEX 33.49Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 459.8 ±12.4

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 116.24Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1763Paséliens

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 24.93Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 147.57Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8880, 2220, 10225

/ 100 compat

Projected

170.8 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8880, 2220, 10225

Auto

26.6 15%

Teleop

103.7 60%

Endgame

41.6 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1625, 1763, 6017

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1625, 1763, 6017

Auto

50.3 18%

Teleop

166.0 59%

Endgame

62.9 23%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 73%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.23

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score170.8pts

Blue projected score288.7pts

Red win probability19%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 73%, blue 55%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -118
Score range: 137–323
Upset likelihood: 19%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 464 vs event baseline 186.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

377.1Season APEX459.8

26.6Auto50.3

103.7Teleop166

41.6Endgame62.9

78Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	38	61
teleop	91	125
endgame	37	112
foul	0	0
total	166	298

Result

Final score

166 – 298

Prediction correct · off by 7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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