Qualification · Qualification 61

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

313.24 – 42.35

97%3%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

421 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 70.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 495.9 ±12.4

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 228.49Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7102PrepaTec - Daedalus

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 39.24Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 45.51Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 193.9 ±13.4

2457The Law

Season APEX 73Event APEX 15.81Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10453Northmen Robotics

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX 6.02Rank 33Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 91

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 20.52Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1987, 7102, 8740

/ 100 compat

Projected

313.2 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1987, 7102, 8740

Auto

51.3 17%

Teleop

193.4 62%

Endgame

65.3 21%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2457, 10453, 5098

/ 100 compat

Projected

42.3 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2457, 10453, 5098

Auto

31.7 73%

Teleop

-2.0 0%

Endgame

13.5 31%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage
· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 12%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.73 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score313.2pts

Blue projected score42.3pts

Red win probability97%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 12%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 270.9
Score range: 9–346
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 496 vs event baseline 185.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

495.9Season APEX193.9

51.3Auto31.7

193.4Teleop-2

65.3Endgame13.5

65Consistency63

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	55	20
teleop	289	21
endgame	77	34
foul	0	0
total	421	75

Result

Final score

421 – 75

Prediction correct · off by 70.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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