Qualification · Qualification 58

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

164.78 – 72.62

76%24%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

201 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 298 ±15.7

9626JagWire Robotics

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 44.12Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

937Nerd Herd

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 32.96Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX 87.7Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 197.8 ±15.6

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 27.82Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5041CyBears

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 19.37Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1763Paséliens

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 25.43Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9626, 937, 5013

/ 100 compat

Projected

164.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9626, 937, 5013

Auto

24.1 15%

Teleop

94.0 57%

Endgame

46.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 7064, 5041, 1763

/ 100 compat

Projected

72.6 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 7064, 5041, 1763

Auto

23.4 33%

Teleop

34.4 49%

Endgame

12.7 18%

Strengths

· Strong autonomous coverage

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 60%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.16 · Blue 1.06

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score164.8pts

Blue projected score72.6pts

Red win probability76%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 60%, blue 54%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 92.2
Score range: 39–199
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-16
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 295 vs event baseline 188.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

298Season APEX197.8

24.1Auto23.4

94Teleop34.4

46.8Endgame12.7

70Consistency64

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	36	16
teleop	111	41
endgame	54	37
foul	0	0
total	201	94

Result

Final score

201 – 94

Prediction correct · off by 28.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.