Qualification · Qualification 57

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

148.82 – 277.29

17%83%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

211 – 172

Prediction missed · off by 83.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 359 ±12.9

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 39.84Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 110.84Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10453Northmen Robotics

Season APEX 60.7Event APEX -1.86Rank 33Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 434.2 ±12.9

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 102.3Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10225Prepa Tecmilenio - PYROX

Season APEX 113.1Event APEX 46.5Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2357System Meltdown

Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 128.49Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8740, 1625, 10453

/ 100 compat

Projected

148.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 8740, 1625, 10453

Auto

31.0 21%

Teleop

94.1 62%

Endgame

26.1 17%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5126, 10225, 2357

/ 100 compat

Projected

277.3 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 5126, 10225, 2357

Auto

56.1 20%

Teleop

151.5 55%

Endgame

69.3 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 64%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.03 · Blue 2.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score148.8pts

Blue projected score277.3pts

Red win probability17%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 64%, blue 69%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -128.5
Score range: 115–311
Upset likelihood: 17%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 383 vs event baseline 188.6.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

359Season APEX434.2

31Auto56.1

94.1Teleop151.5

26.1Endgame69.3

81Consistency88

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	35	55
teleop	102	82
endgame	74	35
foul	0	0
total	211	172

Result

Final score

211 – 172

Prediction missed · off by 83.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.