Qualification · Qualification 55

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.32 – 81.47

68%32%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

191 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 319 ±12.8

6843Guardian Gears

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 49.12Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

4455The Burger Bots

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX 28.24Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 63.96Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 272.7 ±14.5

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 37.65Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7102PrepaTec - Daedalus

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 34.74Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 9.08Rank 38Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6843, 4455, 2220

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.3 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 6843, 4455, 2220

Auto

17.8 13%

Teleop

81.9 58%

Endgame

41.5 29%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9316, 7102, 11171

/ 100 compat

Projected

81.5 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9316, 7102, 11171

Auto

0.7 1%

Teleop

41.3 52%

Endgame

37.9 47%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.08 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score141.3pts

Blue projected score81.5pts

Red win probability68%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 59.9
Score range: 47–175
Upset likelihood: 32%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 297 vs event baseline 186.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

319Season APEX272.7

17.8Auto0.7

81.9Teleop41.3

41.5Endgame37.9

3Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	22
teleop	148	36
endgame	11	48
foul	0	0
total	191	106

Result

Final score

191 – 106

Prediction correct · off by 37.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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