Qualification · Qualification 51

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.72 – 377.8

3%97%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

90 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 38 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 204.9 ±13.9

7483Mechanically Challenged

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 36.71Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 16.29Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

7102PrepaTec - Daedalus

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 34.72Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 465.3 ±12.2

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 121.18Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 143.44Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 113.18Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7483, 5098, 7102

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.7 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 7483, 5098, 7102

Auto

9.2 11%

Teleop

52.9 65%

Endgame

19.3 24%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1625, 10435, 5126

/ 100 compat

Projected

377.8 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1625, 10435, 5126

Auto

56.9 15%

Teleop

229.4 61%

Endgame

92.3 24%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.67 · Blue 2.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score87.7pts

Blue projected score377.8pts

Red win probability3%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -290.1
Score range: 54–412
Upset likelihood: 3%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 394 vs event baseline 187.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

204.9Season APEX465.3

9.2Auto56.9

52.9Teleop229.4

19.3Endgame92.3

94Consistency44

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	12	60
teleop	41	165
endgame	32	79
foul	5	0
total	90	304

Result

Final score

90 – 304

Prediction correct · off by 38 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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