Qualification · Qualification 5

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

175.67 – 168.17

52%48%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

197 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 279.9 ±12.7

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 81.04Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 65.61Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

935RaileRobotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 29.02Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 360.3 ±13.4

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 59.12Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 83.43Rank 25Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 25.62Rank 38Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5126, 8880, 935

/ 100 compat

Projected

175.7 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 5126, 8880, 935

Auto

35.0 21%

Teleop

86.1 51%

Endgame

46.8 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1847, 2704, 11171

/ 100 compat

Projected

168.2 pts

~1.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1847, 2704, 11171

Auto

16.5 10%

Teleop

97.7 58%

Endgame

54.1 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.76 · Blue 1.74

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score175.7pts

Blue projected score168.2pts

Red win probability52%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 75%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 7.5
Score range: 132–212
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Combined score 359 vs event baseline 200.1.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

279.9Season APEX360.3

35Auto16.5

86.1Teleop97.7

46.8Endgame54.1

141Consistency135

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	44	21
teleop	96	82
endgame	57	59
foul	0	0
total	197	162

Result

Final score

197 – 162

Prediction correct · off by 13.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.