Qualification · Qualification 47

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

102.57 – 176.77

28%72%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

229 – 168

Prediction missed · off by 67.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 337.1 ±14.5

937Nerd Herd

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 18.71Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

2704Roaring Robotics

Season APEX 164.1Event APEX 70.43Rank 25Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5041CyBears

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 13.43Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 319.4 ±14.5

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX 81.97Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7102PrepaTec - Daedalus

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 36.19Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

4959Staley Robotics

Season APEX 106.1Event APEX 58.61Rank 10Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 937, 2704, 5041

/ 100 compat

Projected

102.6 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 937, 2704, 5041

Auto

24.2 23%

Teleop

58.1 55%

Endgame

22.8 22%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5013, 7102, 4959

/ 100 compat

Projected

176.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 5013, 7102, 4959

Auto

21.4 12%

Teleop

104.4 60%

Endgame

46.8 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.24 · Blue 2.21

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score102.6pts

Blue projected score176.8pts

Red win probability28%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 71%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -74.2
Score range: 69–211
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 397 vs event baseline 187.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

337.1Season APEX319.4

24.2Auto21.4

58.1Teleop104.4

22.8Endgame46.8

82Consistency49

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	25	19
teleop	140	80
endgame	49	69
foul	15	0
total	229	168

Result

Final score

229 – 168

Prediction missed · off by 67.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.