Qualification · Qualification 46

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

254.14 – 117.04

85%15%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

303 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 431.9 ±13.7

1763Paséliens

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 25.03Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 219.99Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1827THE HIVE

Season APEX 69.7Event APEX 9.12Rank 27Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 92

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 295.4 ±14.5

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 19.99Rank 38Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 104.36Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8112Cyclotrons

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX -7.31Rank 39Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1763, 1987, 1827

/ 100 compat

Projected

254.1 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1763, 1987, 1827

Auto

45.0 18%

Teleop

135.5 53%

Endgame

73.9 29%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11171, 5126, 8112

/ 100 compat

Projected

117 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11171, 5126, 8112

Auto

18.9 16%

Teleop

62.2 53%

Endgame

36.9 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.3 · Blue 0.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score254.1pts

Blue projected score117pts

Red win probability85%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 137.1
Score range: 83–288
Upset likelihood: 15%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 459 vs event baseline 186.3.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

431.9Season APEX295.4

45Auto18.9

135.5Teleop62.2

73.9Endgame36.9

116Consistency43

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	60	33
teleop	184	70
endgame	59	53
foul	0	0
total	303	156

Result

Final score

303 – 156

Prediction correct · off by 43.9 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.