Qualification · Qualification 45

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

93.96 – 99.96

48%52%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

74 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.7 ±12.9

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 38.71Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 36.02Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 19.23Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 230.3 ±13.9

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 19.58Rank 31Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1994Quixote

Season APEX 59Event APEX 11.64Rank 37Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 91

757Crazy Train

Season APEX 111.1Event APEX 68.74Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7064, 9316, 10333

/ 100 compat

Projected

94 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 7064, 9316, 10333

Auto

17.0 19%

Teleop

32.2 36%

Endgame

40.8 45%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 5098, 1994, 757

/ 100 compat

Projected

100 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 5098, 1994, 757

Auto

22.7 23%

Teleop

50.2 51%

Endgame

25.6 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 54%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.55 · Blue 1.63

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score94pts

Blue projected score100pts

Red win probability48%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 54%, blue 52%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -6
Score range: 60–134
Upset likelihood: 48%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Upset

Close match

Combined score 161 vs event baseline 188.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.7Season APEX230.3

17Auto22.7

32.2Teleop50.2

40.8Endgame25.6

72Consistency57

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	16
teleop	35	49
endgame	24	22
foul	0	0
total	74	87

Result

Final score

74 – 87

Prediction correct · off by 16.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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