Qualification · Qualification 42

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

287.76 – 95.41

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

228 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 71.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 410.8 ±12.8

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 163.29Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

935RaileRobotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 25.24Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

9410PowerHouse

Season APEX 132.7Event APEX 99.23Rank 9Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 285.7 ±13.4

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 30.19Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 62.16Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

5041CyBears

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX 3.06Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6017, 935, 9410

/ 100 compat

Projected

287.8 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 6017, 935, 9410

Auto

36.3 13%

Teleop

174.4 61%

Endgame

74.7 26%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8740, 8880, 5041

/ 100 compat

Projected

95.4 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 8740, 8880, 5041

Auto

28.5 30%

Teleop

60.9 64%

Endgame

5.7 6%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.53 · Blue 0.86

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score287.8pts

Blue projected score95.4pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 192.4
Score range: 61–322
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 406 vs event baseline 187.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

410.8Season APEX285.7

36.3Auto28.5

174.4Teleop60.9

74.7Endgame5.7

56Consistency46

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	17	23
teleop	113	109
endgame	38	46
foul	60	0
total	228	178

Result

Final score

228 – 178

Prediction correct · off by 71.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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