Qualification · Qualification 35

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

288.07 – 121.34

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

341 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 472.2 ±11.6

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 30.77Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 167.79Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 89.51Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 298.3 ±12.2

935RaileRobotics

Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 29.31Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 87.59Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2457The Law

Season APEX 73Event APEX 4.44Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9316, 1986, 5126

/ 100 compat

Projected

288.1 pts

~2.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 9316, 1986, 5126

Auto

44.4 16%

Teleop

176.2 62%

Endgame

65.1 23%

Strengths

· 1986 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 935, 2220, 2457

/ 100 compat

Projected

121.3 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 935, 2220, 2457

Auto

22.2 18%

Teleop

75.8 62%

Endgame

24.1 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.42 · Blue 0.94

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score288.1pts

Blue projected score121.3pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 166.7
Score range: 88–321
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 471 vs event baseline 182.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

472.2Season APEX298.3

44.4Auto22.2

176.2Teleop75.8

65.1Endgame24.1

66Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	20
teleop	209	66
endgame	84	44
foul	0	0
total	341	130

Result

Final score

341 – 130

Prediction correct · off by 30.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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