Qualification · Qualification 33

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

90.3 – 161.44

29%71%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

77 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 217.1 ±14.7

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 25.97Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1769Digital Hawks

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 23.28Rank 34Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 91

9626JagWire Robotics

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 41.05Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 306.4 ±13.9

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 44.51Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8825Team Eagle Eyed

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 40.21Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX 76.72Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 10333, 1769, 9626

/ 100 compat

Projected

90.3 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 10333, 1769, 9626

Auto

13.5 16%

Teleop

41.3 50%

Endgame

27.1 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8740, 8825, 5013

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.4 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8740, 8825, 5013

Auto

29.8 18%

Teleop

93.4 56%

Endgame

42.2 26%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 53%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.15 · Blue 2.17

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score90.3pts

Blue projected score161.4pts

Red win probability29%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 53%, blue 68%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -71.1
Score range: 56–195
Upset likelihood: 29%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 219 vs event baseline 187.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

217.1Season APEX306.4

13.5Auto29.8

41.3Teleop93.4

27.1Endgame42.2

73Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	19	34
teleop	32	91
endgame	26	17
foul	0	0
total	77	142

Result

Final score

77 – 142

Prediction correct · off by 16.4 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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