Qualification · Qualification 31
APEX prediction
Predicted winner
Blue alliance
Predicted score
67.44 – 191.04
18%82%
Actual result
Winner
Blue alliance
Final score
87 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 15.8 points
red allianceTotal Season APEX 173 ±15.6
Season APEX 59Event APEX 26.17Rank 37Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 9.52Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91
Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 31.75Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92
blue allianceTotal Season APEX 324.3 ±12.8
Season APEX 58.4Event APEX 34.84Rank 12Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 94
Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 114.12Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100
Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 42.08Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97
Scouting breakdown
Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.
Red · 1994, 1763, 7102
29
/ 100 compatProjected
67.4 pts
~0.9 RP (regional)
Teams: 1994, 1763, 7102
Auto
-3.0 0%
Teleop
41.1 55%
Endgame
36.4 49%
Strengths
- · Reliable endgame stack
Weaknesses
- · Thin autonomous coverage
- · Below-average combined firepower
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Blue · 935, 2357, 7483
66
/ 100 compatProjected
191 pts
~2.3 RP (regional)
Teams: 935, 2357, 7483
Auto
47.0 27%
Teleop
99.6 57%
Endgame
27.8 16%
Strengths
–
Weaknesses
- · Inconsistent match-to-match output
RP bonus probability
Energized: 50%
Supercharged: 3%
Traversal: 2%
Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 0.91 · Blue 2.29
Formula
RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)
Inputs
Rule setRegional
Red projected score67.4pts
Blue projected score191pts
Red win probability18%
Event bonus sample164alliance-matches
Adjustments
Energized bonusred 50%, blue 59%
Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%
Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%
- Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
- Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
- Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).
Prediction detail
- Predicted margin
- -123.6
- Score range
- 33–225
- Upset likelihood
- 18%
- Data cutoff
- 2026-08-16
- Model
- apex-0.4.0
Red vs Blue
Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)
173Season APEX324.3
-3Auto47
41.1Teleop99.6
36.4Endgame27.8
78Consistency101
Score breakdown
Official phase points (TBA)
| Phase | Red | Blue |
|---|---|---|
| auto | 10 | 19 |
| teleop | 34 | 115 |
| endgame | 28 | 40 |
| foul | 15 | 5 |
| total | 87 | 179 |
Result
Final score
87 – 179
Prediction correct · off by 15.8 pts
Score check across official sources:
agree
Match videos
Watch right here, no need to leave the page.