Qualification · Qualification 3

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

326.87 – 192.82

84%16%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

391 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 529.2 ±12.4

8825Team Eagle Eyed

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 35.37Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 163Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 128.5Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 391.8 ±14.1

10225Prepa Tecmilenio - PYROX

Season APEX 113.1Event APEX 36.09Rank 20Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 146.53Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1994Quixote

Season APEX 59Event APEX 10.2Rank 37Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 91

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8825, 1986, 1625

/ 100 compat

Projected

326.9 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 8825, 1986, 1625

Auto

76.3 23%

Teleop

180.4 55%

Endgame

68.8 21%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 10225, 6017, 1994

/ 100 compat

Projected

192.8 pts

~1.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 10225, 6017, 1994

Auto

35.6 19%

Teleop

99.6 54%

Endgame

49.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 8%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.45 · Blue 0.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score326.9pts

Blue projected score192.8pts

Red win probability84%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 8%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 134.1
Score range: 157–363
Upset likelihood: 16%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 647 vs event baseline 200.1.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

529.2Season APEX391.8

76.3Auto35.6

180.4Teleop99.6

68.8Endgame49.7

51Consistency107

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	74	40
teleop	226	139
endgame	91	77
foul	0	0
total	391	256

Result

Final score

391 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 63.7 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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