Qualification · Qualification 29

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

394.94 – 224.15

89%11%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

478 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 629.9 ±11.2

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 208.96Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 109.89Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

2220Blue Twilight

Season APEX 166.9Event APEX 76.09Rank 8Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 245.6 ±13.9

4455The Burger Bots

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX 69.15Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

5126Electromagnetic Panthers (EMP)

Season APEX 124.4Event APEX 99.02Rank 16Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 55.98Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1987, 10435, 2220

/ 100 compat

Projected

394.9 pts

~2.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1987, 10435, 2220

Auto

61.8 16%

Teleop

214.4 55%

Endgame

114.6 29%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4455, 5126, 7064

/ 100 compat

Projected

224.2 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4455, 5126, 7064

Auto

39.5 18%

Teleop

118.6 54%

Endgame

61.6 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 67%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.59 · Blue 0.89

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score394.9pts

Blue projected score224.2pts

Red win probability89%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 67%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 170.8
Score range: 191–428
Upset likelihood: 11%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 623 vs event baseline 184.9.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

629.9Season APEX245.6

61.8Auto39.5

214.4Teleop118.6

114.6Endgame61.6

113Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	62	39
teleop	306	66
endgame	110	30
foul	0	10
total	478	145

Result

Final score

478 – 145

Prediction correct · off by 81.1 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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