Qualification · Qualification 27

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

248.08 – 61.88

91%9%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

286 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 33 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 452.2 ±13.5

9410PowerHouse

Season APEX 132.7Event APEX 66.64Rank 9Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

1769Digital Hawks

Season APEX 63.8Event APEX 26.38Rank 34Record 3-6-1Status establishedConfidence 91

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 155.06Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 199.8 ±13.9

1763Paséliens

Season APEX 38.5Event APEX 5.42Rank 40Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 91

7483Mechanically Challenged

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 28.8Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 27.66Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9410, 1769, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

248.1 pts

~2.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 9410, 1769, 1986

Auto

29.9 12%

Teleop

142.4 58%

Endgame

73.1 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1763, 7483, 9316

/ 100 compat

Projected

61.9 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1763, 7483, 9316

Auto

2.1 5%

Teleop

39.4 87%

Endgame

3.6 8%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage
· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.5 · Blue 0.67

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score248.1pts

Blue projected score61.9pts

Red win probability91%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 45%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 186.2
Score range: 28–282
Upset likelihood: 9%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 376 vs event baseline 186.8.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

452.2Season APEX199.8

29.9Auto2.1

142.4Teleop39.4

73.1Endgame3.6

19Consistency118

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	51	10
teleop	200	40
endgame	35	40
foul	0	0
total	286	90

Result

Final score

286 – 90

Prediction correct · off by 33 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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