Qualification · Qualification 23

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

94.64 – 161.6

30%70%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

58 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 101 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 245.1 ±14.5

8825Team Eagle Eyed

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 47.06Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 42.84Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

937Nerd Herd

Season APEX 81.1Event APEX 4.74Rank 23Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 290.2 ±13.3

8880Terra Cyborg

Season APEX 97.1Event APEX 59.19Rank 17Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 72.06Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

4455The Burger Bots

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX 30.35Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 8825, 9316, 937

/ 100 compat

Projected

94.6 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 8825, 9316, 937

Auto

11.2 12%

Teleop

58.1 61%

Endgame

26.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8880, 10435, 4455

/ 100 compat

Projected

161.6 pts

~2.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 8880, 10435, 4455

Auto

34.8 21%

Teleop

73.8 45%

Endgame

55.8 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 56%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.22 · Blue 2.11

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score94.6pts

Blue projected score161.6pts

Red win probability30%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 56%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -67
Score range: 62–195
Upset likelihood: 30%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 385 vs event baseline 181.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

245.1Season APEX290.2

11.2Auto34.8

58.1Teleop73.8

26.6Endgame55.8

0Consistency128

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	26	58
teleop	18	170
endgame	14	84
foul	0	15
total	58	327

Result

Final score

58 – 327

Prediction correct · off by 101 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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