Qualification · Qualification 19

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

98.6 – 191.78

24%76%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

104 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 221.6 ±14.1

7102PrepaTec - Daedalus

Season APEX 75.5Event APEX 17.5Rank 36Record 2-8-0Status establishedConfidence 92

10333Elevation

Season APEX 74.2Event APEX 28.17Rank 29Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8825Team Eagle Eyed

Season APEX 71.9Event APEX 52.93Rank 22Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 91

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 548.3 ±13

9410PowerHouse

Season APEX 132.7Event APEX 49.97Rank 9Record 7-2-1Status establishedConfidence 97

5041CyBears

Season APEX 91.9Event APEX -27.31Rank 18Record 5-5-0Status establishedConfidence 91

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 169.12Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 7102, 10333, 8825

/ 100 compat

Projected

98.6 pts

~1.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 7102, 10333, 8825

Auto

19.5 21%

Teleop

45.1 49%

Endgame

27.0 29%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9410, 5041, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

191.8 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 9410, 5041, 1987

Auto

39.6 21%

Teleop

96.9 52%

Endgame

50.1 27%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.16 · Blue 2.24

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score98.6pts

Blue projected score191.8pts

Red win probability24%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 64%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -93.2
Score range: 66–225
Upset likelihood: 24%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 441 vs event baseline 181.5.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

221.6Season APEX548.3

19.5Auto39.6

45.1Teleop96.9

27Endgame50.1

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	71
teleop	41	184
endgame	43	82
foul	0	0
total	104	337

Result

Final score

104 – 337

Prediction correct · off by 75.3 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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