Qualification · Qualification 16

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

151.7 – 189.18

39%61%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

169 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 78.6 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 354 ±14.5

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 5.07Rank 38Record 1-9-0Status establishedConfidence 92

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX 66.69Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

757Crazy Train

Season APEX 111.1Event APEX 79.94Rank 5Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 491.7 ±12.2

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 124.89Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 23.42Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

10435IRS - Intelligent Robotic Systems

Season APEX 139.3Event APEX 40.87Rank 11Record 6-3-1Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 11171, 5013, 757

/ 100 compat

Projected

151.7 pts

~1.5 RP (regional)

Teams: 11171, 5013, 757

Auto

44.7 30%

Teleop

67.7 45%

Endgame

37.2 25%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1986, 8740, 10435

/ 100 compat

Projected

189.2 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1986, 8740, 10435

Auto

36.1 20%

Teleop

120.7 67%

Endgame

23.9 13%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin endgame coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 71%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.54 · Blue 1.99

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score151.7pts

Blue projected score189.2pts

Red win probability39%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 71%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 8%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -37.5
Score range: 120–221
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 498 vs event baseline 178.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

354Season APEX491.7

44.7Auto36.1

67.7Teleop120.7

37.2Endgame23.9

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	32	39
teleop	97	216
endgame	40	74
foul	0	0
total	169	329

Result

Final score

169 – 329

Prediction correct · off by 78.6 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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