Qualification · Qualification 14

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

172.08 – 117.92

66%34%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

143 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 44.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 233.3 ±12.7

1847WRATH

Season APEX 91.1Event APEX 73.08Rank 6Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7483Mechanically Challenged

Season APEX 69.2Event APEX 47.08Rank 28Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2457The Law

Season APEX 73Event APEX 51.92Rank 26Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 231.6 ±15

6843Guardian Gears

Season APEX 98.3Event APEX 23.27Rank 19Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 94

8112Cyclotrons

Season APEX 65.9Event APEX 18.07Rank 39Record 2-7-1Status establishedConfidence 92

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 76.58Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1847, 7483, 2457

/ 100 compat

Projected

172.1 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 1847, 7483, 2457

Auto

18.0 11%

Teleop

88.6 56%

Endgame

52.6 33%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 6843, 8112, 7064

/ 100 compat

Projected

117.9 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 6843, 8112, 7064

Auto

25.1 21%

Teleop

62.7 52%

Endgame

31.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 63%

Supercharged: 2%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.99 · Blue 1.33

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score172.1pts

Blue projected score117.9pts

Red win probability66%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 63%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 2%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 54.2
Score range: 85–205
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 201 vs event baseline 182.9.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

233.3Season APEX231.6

18Auto25.1

88.6Teleop62.7

52.6Endgame31.7

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	20	13
teleop	81	23
endgame	27	22
foul	15	0
total	143	58

Result

Final score

143 – 58

Prediction correct · off by 44.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.