Qualification · Qualification 10

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

232.93 – 196.57

61%39%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

264 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 points

Limited current-season data (9 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 406.8 ±13.5

5013Trobots

Season APEX 137.8Event APEX 41.14Rank 14Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

7064Voltron Robotics

Season APEX 67.4Event APEX 79.38Rank 32Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1625Winnovation

Season APEX 201.6Event APEX 112.41Rank 7Record 7-3-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.6 ±12.7

8740Prepa Tecmilenio - Quantum Force

Season APEX 96.7Event APEX 42Rank 15Record 6-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4455The Burger Bots

Season APEX 53.8Event APEX 41.14Rank 35Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 95

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 113.43Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5013, 7064, 1625

/ 100 compat

Projected

232.9 pts

~2.0 RP (regional)

Teams: 5013, 7064, 1625

Auto

39.2 17%

Teleop

128.9 55%

Endgame

65.6 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 8740, 4455, 9316

/ 100 compat

Projected

196.6 pts

~1.4 RP (regional)

Teams: 8740, 4455, 9316

Auto

27.9 14%

Teleop

110.0 57%

Endgame

54.8 28%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.96 · Blue 1.4

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score232.9pts

Blue projected score196.6pts

Red win probability61%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 36.4
Score range: 163–267
Upset likelihood: 39%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 372 vs event baseline 187.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

406.8Season APEX242.6

39.2Auto27.9

128.9Teleop110

65.6Endgame54.8

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	67	13
teleop	128	49
endgame	69	41
foul	0	5
total	264	108

Result

Final score

264 – 108

Prediction correct · off by 59.8 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.