Final · Finals 2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

424.83 – 317.72

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

428 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 658.5 ±12.7

9626JagWire Robotics

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 31.06Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 230.81Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 162.96Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508.5 ±11

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 45.18Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2357System Meltdown

Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 123.71Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 148.83Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9626, 1987, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

424.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9626, 1987, 1986

Auto

83.8 20%

Teleop

257.7 61%

Endgame

81.6 19%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9316, 2357, 6017

/ 100 compat

Projected

317.7 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9316, 2357, 6017

Auto

62.0 20%

Teleop

164.5 52%

Endgame

87.3 28%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.31 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score424.8pts

Blue projected score317.7pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 107.1
Score range: 282–461
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 684 vs event baseline 198.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

658.5Season APEX508.5

83.8Auto62

257.7Teleop164.5

81.6Endgame87.3

45Consistency59

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	124	63
teleop	238	121
endgame	66	72
foul	0	0
total	428	256

Result

Final score

428 – 256

Prediction correct · off by 32.4 pts

Match videos

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