Final · Finals 1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

427.28 – 326.22

78%22%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

406 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 658.5 ±12.7

9626JagWire Robotics

Season APEX 79.1Event APEX 31.98Rank 30Record 3-7-0Status establishedConfidence 80

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 231.32Rank 1Record 9-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1986Team Titanium

Season APEX 255.7Event APEX 163.98Rank 2Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 508.5 ±11

9316CUBATRONICS

Season APEX 92.1Event APEX 48.11Rank 24Record 4-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

2357System Meltdown

Season APEX 196.7Event APEX 126.33Rank 4Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

6017PrepaTec - Cyberius

Season APEX 219.7Event APEX 151.78Rank 3Record 8-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 9626, 1987, 1986

/ 100 compat

Projected

427.3 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 9626, 1987, 1986

Auto

77.9 18%

Teleop

259.9 61%

Endgame

87.6 21%

Strengths

· 1987 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 9316, 2357, 6017

/ 100 compat

Projected

326.2 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 9316, 2357, 6017

Auto

60.1 19%

Teleop

175.0 54%

Endgame

86.7 27%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.29 · Blue 1.07

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score427.3pts

Blue projected score326.2pts

Red win probability78%

Event bonus sample164alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 101.1
Score range: 291–462
Upset likelihood: 22%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 660 vs event baseline 196.7.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

658.5Season APEX508.5

77.9Auto60.1

259.9Teleop175

87.6Endgame86.7

41Consistency55

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	122	79
teleop	240	86
endgame	44	89
foul	0	0
total	406	254

Result

Final score

406 – 254

Prediction correct · off by 46.8 pts

Match videos

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