Playoff · Playoff Match 8 R2

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

347.57 – 240.92

79%21%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

283 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 570 ±11

1208Metool Brigade

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 20.13Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 189.76Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 137.68Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 492.7 ±12.2

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 5.76Rank 38Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 108.15Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5809The Jesubots 5809

Season APEX 221.6Event APEX 127.01Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1208, 1710, 1108

/ 100 compat

Projected

347.6 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1208, 1710, 1108

Auto

59.3 17%

Teleop

208.9 61%

Endgame

75.9 22%

Strengths

· 1710 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1982, 1939, 5809

/ 100 compat

Projected

240.9 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 1982, 1939, 5809

Auto

46.3 20%

Teleop

117.1 50%

Endgame

69.3 30%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 61%

Supercharged: 11%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.32 · Blue 1.05

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score347.6pts

Blue projected score240.9pts

Red win probability79%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 61%, blue 57%

Supercharged bonusred 11%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 106.7
Score range: 206–383
Upset likelihood: 21%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 510 vs event baseline 194.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

570Season APEX492.7

59.3Auto46.3

208.9Teleop117.1

75.9Endgame69.3

21Consistency31

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	29	44
teleop	149	88
endgame	100	90
foul	5	5
total	283	227

Result

Final score

283 – 227

Prediction correct · off by 39.2 pts

Match videos

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