Playoff · Playoff Match 1 R1

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

558.73 – 129.15

98%2%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

424 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 76.4 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 776.8 ±9.3

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 55.16Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 253.73Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 249.84Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 242.5 ±13.9

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 23.14Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9570Valiant

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 50.2Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

1806S.W.A.T.

Season APEX 69.6Event APEX 55.81Rank 15Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 95

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2333, 4522, 1987

/ 100 compat

Projected

558.7 pts

~2.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 2333, 4522, 1987

Auto

114.6 21%

Teleop

315.9 57%

Endgame

121.8 22%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1997, 9570, 1806

/ 100 compat

Projected

129.2 pts

~0.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 1997, 9570, 1806

Auto

24.4 19%

Teleop

76.2 58%

Endgame

30.6 23%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.83 · Blue 0.7

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score558.7pts

Blue projected score129.2pts

Red win probability98%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 60%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 429.6
Score range: 95–593
Upset likelihood: 2%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 535 vs event baseline 189.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

776.8Season APEX242.5

114.6Auto24.4

315.9Teleop76.2

121.8Endgame30.6

47Consistency66

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	48	19
teleop	246	49
endgame	110	43
foul	20	0
total	424	111

Result

Final score

424 – 111

Prediction correct · off by 76.4 pts

Match videos

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