Playoff · Playoff Match 12 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

244.07 – 296.23

34%66%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

144 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 82.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.7 ±12.2

1982Cougar Robotics

Season APEX 57.1Event APEX 6.23Rank 38Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 109.59Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5809The Jesubots 5809

Season APEX 221.6Event APEX 128.25Rank 13Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 97

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 539.8 ±9.8

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 136.93Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

2040DERT - Dunlap Eagles Robotics Team

Season APEX 192Event APEX 127.55Rank 8Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 31.75Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1982, 1939, 5809

/ 100 compat

Projected

244.1 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1982, 1939, 5809

Auto

47.6 20%

Teleop

114.9 48%

Endgame

75.2 32%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4766, 2040, 5968

/ 100 compat

Projected

296.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 4766, 2040, 5968

Auto

38.1 13%

Teleop

170.6 58%

Endgame

86.2 29%

Strengths

· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 57%

Supercharged: 5%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.32 · Blue 1.95

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score244.1pts

Blue projected score296.2pts

Red win probability34%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 57%, blue 58%

Supercharged bonusred 5%, blue 3%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -52.2
Score range: 209–331
Upset likelihood: 34%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Playoff

Standard match.

Combined score 376 vs event baseline 195.5.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.7Season APEX539.8

47.6Auto38.1

114.9Teleop170.6

75.2Endgame86.2

42Consistency73

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	46	33
teleop	88	115
endgame	10	84
foul	0	0
total	144	232

Result

Final score

144 – 232

Prediction correct · off by 82.2 pts

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.