Playoff · Playoff Match 11 R4

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

531.35 – 336.92

92%8%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

458 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 99.1 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 776.8 ±9.3

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 46.61Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX 239.55Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 245.19Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 570 ±11

1208Metool Brigade

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 17.02Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 186.01Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 133.89Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2333, 1987, 4522

/ 100 compat

Projected

531.4 pts

~2.7 RP (regional)

Teams: 2333, 1987, 4522

Auto

103.2 20%

Teleop

303.0 58%

Endgame

116.2 22%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1208, 1710, 1108

/ 100 compat

Projected

336.9 pts

~0.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 1208, 1710, 1108

Auto

54.1 16%

Teleop

199.0 60%

Endgame

80.1 24%

Strengths

· 1710 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 66%

Supercharged: 19%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.71 · Blue 0.91

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score531.4pts

Blue projected score336.9pts

Red win probability92%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 66%, blue 61%

Supercharged bonusred 19%, blue 11%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 194.4
Score range: 302–566
Upset likelihood: 8%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Playoff

Combined score 670 vs event baseline 195.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

776.8Season APEX570

103.2Auto54.1

303Teleop199

116.2Endgame80.1

35Consistency27

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	93	15
teleop	239	140
endgame	121	57
foul	5	0
total	458	212

Result

Final score

458 – 212

Prediction correct · off by 99.1 pts

Match videos

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