Qualification · Qualification 8

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

110.57 – 123.14

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

105 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 points

Limited current-season data (7 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 257 ±13.3

1825The Cyborgs

Season APEX 94.4Event APEX 74Rank 19Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1208Metool Brigade

Season APEX 70.4Event APEX 21.43Rank 26Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

9570Valiant

Season APEX 92.2Event APEX 15.14Rank 12Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 94

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 368.4 ±12.4

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 66Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 21.43Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1723The FBI - FIRST Bots of Independence

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 35.71Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1825, 1208, 9570

/ 100 compat

Projected

110.6 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 1825, 1208, 9570

Auto

19.4 18%

Teleop

56.6 51%

Endgame

34.6 31%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack
· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 4766, 1997, 1723

/ 100 compat

Projected

123.1 pts

~1.8 RP (regional)

Teams: 4766, 1997, 1723

Auto

20.0 16%

Teleop

69.2 57%

Endgame

32.6 27%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 59%

Supercharged: 9%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.62 · Blue 1.77

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score110.6pts

Blue projected score123.1pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 59%, blue 65%

Supercharged bonusred 9%, blue 2%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -12.6
Score range: 76–158
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 285 vs event baseline 192.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

257Season APEX368.4

19.4Auto20

56.6Teleop69.2

34.6Endgame32.6

0Consistency0

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	20
teleop	52	83
endgame	29	77
foul	0	0
total	105	180

Result

Final score

105 – 180

Prediction correct · off by 31.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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