Qualification · Qualification 74

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

87.34 – 186

23%77%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

63 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 223.1 ±13.9

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX 12.73Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4213MetalCow Robotics

Season APEX 98.6Event APEX 49.98Rank 20Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

8770FireBolts

Season APEX 64.3Event APEX 24.63Rank 35Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 89

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 455.5 ±11.7

1108Panther Robotics

Season APEX 233.1Event APEX 135.84Rank 3Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

5968Little Apple Cyborgs

Season APEX 141.7Event APEX 28.74Rank 28Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

1997STAGROBOTICS

Season APEX 80.7Event APEX 21.42Rank 27Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 5098, 4213, 8770

/ 100 compat

Projected

87.3 pts

~1.1 RP (regional)

Teams: 5098, 4213, 8770

Auto

12.2 14%

Teleop

39.1 46%

Endgame

33.7 40%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Below-average combined firepower
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1108, 5968, 1997

/ 100 compat

Projected

186 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 1108, 5968, 1997

Auto

37.7 20%

Teleop

114.3 60%

Endgame

37.9 20%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 62%

Supercharged: 4%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.14 · Blue 2.2

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score87.3pts

Blue projected score186pts

Red win probability23%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 62%, blue 59%

Supercharged bonusred 4%, blue 4%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -98.7
Score range: 53–220
Upset likelihood: 23%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 279 vs event baseline 189.2.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

223.1Season APEX455.5

12.2Auto37.7

39.1Teleop114.3

33.7Endgame37.9

19Consistency77

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	15	44
teleop	25	112
endgame	18	60
foul	5	0
total	63	216

Result

Final score

63 – 216

Prediction correct · off by 27.2 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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