Qualification · Qualification 72

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Blue alliance

Predicted score

231.74 – 243.19

46%54%

Actual result

Winner

Blue alliance

Final score

179 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 413 ±14.3

2001HERMES

Provisional

Season APEX 63.9Event APEX 29.17Rank 39Record 3-8-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

2333Sapulpa Robotics Team

Season APEX 143Event APEX 60.06Rank 32Record 3-8-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4766Team SCREAM Jr.

Season APEX 206.1Event APEX 142.51Rank 5Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 420.3 ±12.9

11171Hi Gear

Season APEX 105.1Event APEX 27.26Rank 17Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1939THE KUHNIGHTS

Season APEX 214Event APEX 111.7Rank 4Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

3184Blaze Robotics

Season APEX 101.2Event APEX 104.23Rank 9Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 2001, 2333, 4766

/ 100 compat

Projected

231.7 pts

~1.6 RP (regional)

Teams: 2001, 2333, 4766

Auto

18.5 8%

Teleop

134.1 58%

Endgame

77.7 34%

Strengths

· Reliable endgame stack

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 11171, 1939, 3184

/ 100 compat

Projected

243.2 pts

~1.9 RP (regional)

Teams: 11171, 1939, 3184

Auto

34.6 15%

Teleop

131.2 55%

Endgame

70.6 30%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 58%

Supercharged: 3%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 1.56 · Blue 1.85

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score231.7pts

Blue projected score243.2pts

Red win probability46%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 58%, blue 67%

Supercharged bonusred 3%, blue 9%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: -11.4
Score range: 198–277
Upset likelihood: 46%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

Standard match.

Combined score 374 vs event baseline 191.2.

← Previous Next →

Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

413Season APEX420.3

18.5Auto34.6

134.1Teleop131.2

77.7Endgame70.6

35Consistency11

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	24	19
teleop	108	117
endgame	42	59
foul	5	0
total	179	195

Result

Final score

179 – 195

Prediction correct · off by 50.5 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

Watch right here, no need to leave the page.