Qualification · Qualification 71

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

379.69 – 302.32

72%28%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

362 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 15 points

red allianceTotal Season APEX 492.1 ±12.4

681710 Factorial

Season APEX 62.6Event APEX 29.97Rank 21Record 5-6-0Status establishedConfidence 97

1730Team Driven

Season APEX 119.4Event APEX 93.96Rank 6Record 8-3-0Status establishedConfidence 97

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX 255.76Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 421.2 ±12.8

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 192.09Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

11195VOLT Robotics

Season APEX 73.1Event APEX 46.09Rank 40Record 2-9-0Status establishedConfidence 95

1723The FBI - FIRST Bots of Independence

Season APEX 81.6Event APEX 64.14Rank 10Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 97

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 6817, 1730, 4522

/ 100 compat

Projected

379.7 pts

~2.2 RP (regional)

Teams: 6817, 1730, 4522

Auto

82.1 22%

Teleop

205.6 55%

Endgame

83.8 23%

Strengths

· 4522 anchors offense
· Well-balanced across phases
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 1710, 11195, 1723

/ 100 compat

Projected

302.3 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1710, 11195, 1723

Auto

44.3 15%

Teleop

167.8 57%

Endgame

84.6 29%

Strengths

· 1710 anchors offense
· Elite combined APEX

Weaknesses

· Thin autonomous coverage
· Inconsistent match-to-match output

RP bonus probability

Energized: 69%

Supercharged: 7%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.23 · Blue 1.3

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score379.7pts

Blue projected score302.3pts

Red win probability72%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 69%, blue 66%

Supercharged bonusred 7%, blue 7%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 77.4
Score range: 268–414
Upset likelihood: 28%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 652 vs event baseline 189.3.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

492.1Season APEX421.2

82.1Auto44.3

205.6Teleop167.8

83.8Endgame84.6

58Consistency41

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	115	67
teleop	167	148
endgame	75	70
foul	5	5
total	362	290

Result

Final score

362 – 290

Prediction correct · off by 15 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

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