Qualification · Qualification 7

APEX prediction

Predicted winner

Red alliance

Predicted score

141.85 – 78.21

69%31%

Actual result

Winner

Red alliance

Final score

467 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 297 points

Limited current-season data (6 matches), wider uncertainty, lower confidence.

red allianceTotal Season APEX 665.8 ±11.9

1987Broncobots

A+

Season APEX 323.7Event APEX -Rank 1Record 9-2-0Status establishedConfidence 100

9428The Cashew Chickens @ Springfield Robotics

Season APEX 75.6Event APEX -Rank 18Record 6-5-0Status establishedConfidence 92

1710The Ravonics Revolution

Season APEX 266.5Event APEX 89.71Rank 7Record 7-4-0Status establishedConfidence 100

blue allianceTotal Season APEX 452.3 ±14.8

2560RoboDog

Provisional

Season APEX 82Event APEX -Rank 41Record 2-9-0Status provisionalConfidence 74

5098STING - R

Season APEX 60.2Event APEX -Rank 34Record 4-7-0Status establishedConfidence 100

4522Team SCREAM

A+

Season APEX 310.1Event APEX -Rank 2Record 10-1-0Status establishedConfidence 100

Scouting breakdown

Alliance compatibility and predicted ranking points, built from this event's completed matches.

Red · 1987, 9428, 1710

/ 100 compat

Projected

141.8 pts

~2.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 1987, 9428, 1710

Auto

37.4 26%

Teleop

82.1 58%

Endgame

22.4 16%

Strengths

–

Weaknesses

–

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Blue · 2560, 5098, 4522

/ 100 compat

Projected

78.2 pts

~1.3 RP (regional)

Teams: 2560, 5098, 4522

Auto

23.5 30%

Teleop

39.1 50%

Endgame

15.6 20%

Strengths

· Well-balanced across phases

Weaknesses

· Below-average combined firepower

RP bonus probability

Energized: 65%

Supercharged: 22%

Traversal: 2%

Predicted ranking points (regional)Red 2.27 · Blue 1.32

Formula

RP = 2·P(win) + tie·P(tie) + Σ P(bonus)

Inputs

Rule setRegional

Red projected score141.8pts

Blue projected score78.2pts

Red win probability69%

Event bonus sample182alliance-matches

Adjustments

Energized bonusred 65%, blue 62%

Supercharged bonusred 22%, blue 5%

Traversal bonusred 2%, blue 2%

Regional qualification: 2 RP win, 1 RP each bonus.
Team bonus rates shrink toward the event mean (4-match prior).
Alliance bonus prob = geometric mean of team rates (all three must contribute).

Prediction detail

Predicted margin: 63.6
Score range: 50–170
Upset likelihood: 31%
Data cutoff: 2026-08-15
Model: apex-0.4.0

Match context

High scoring

Combined score 814 vs event baseline 156.4.

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Red vs Blue

Alliance sums (event-scoped where available)

665.8Season APEX452.3

21.7Auto-

56Teleop-

12Endgame-

0Consistency-

Score breakdown

Official phase points (TBA)

Phase	Red	Blue
auto	91	82
teleop	275	176
endgame	101	89
foul	0	0
total	467	347

Result

Final score

467 – 347

Prediction correct · off by 297 pts

Score check across official sources:

agree

Match videos

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